Raiders edge it
The Raiders edged the Sea Eagles 29–28 at 4 Pines Park in front of 17,253 in Round 1. They came from behind, trailing 6–14 at the break. It ended the Sea Eagles' 3-game winning run.
Xavier Savage scored 2 tries. Noah Martin (Raiders) was the standout with 80 fantasy points, 3 tackle breaks and 2 tries. The Raiders won the metres battle 1,697 to 1,512.
Our Final Tip had the Sea Eagles at 55% (a coin flip) and got it wrong. The bookies had the other side as favourites, so this one was an upset.
Sea Eagles
WWWLL
Raiders
LWWWL
Game flow
Sea Eagles · above
Raiders · below
Show scoring as a table
| Min | Team | Player | Event | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' | Sea Eagles | Tom Trbojevic | Try | 4–0 |
| 4' | Sea Eagles | Jamal Fogarty | Conversion | 6–0 |
| 9' | Sea Eagles | Jamal Fogarty | Penalty goal | 8–0 |
| 16' | Sea Eagles | Haumole Olakau'atu | Try | 12–0 |
| 18' | Sea Eagles | Jamal Fogarty | Conversion | 14–0 |
| 19' | Raiders | Noah Martin | Try | 14–4 |
| 20' | Raiders | Ethan Sanders | Conversion | 14–6 |
| 45' | Raiders | Noah Martin | Try | 14–10 |
| 47' | Raiders | Ethan Sanders | Conversion | 14–12 |
| 48' | Raiders | Xavier Savage | Try | 14–16 |
| 50' | Raiders | Ethan Sanders | Conversion | 14–18 |
| 52' | Raiders | Xavier Savage | Try | 14–22 |
| 67' | Raiders | Ethan Sanders | Try | 14–26 |
| 69' | Raiders | Ethan Sanders | Conversion | 14–28 |
| 73' | Sea Eagles | Tolutau Koula | Try | 18–28 |
| 74' | Sea Eagles | Jamal Fogarty | Conversion | 20–28 |
| 74' | Sea Eagles | Jamal Fogarty | Try | 24–28 |
| 75' | Sea Eagles | Reuben Garrick | Conversion | 26–28 |
| 80' | Sea Eagles | Jamal Fogarty | Penalty goal | 28–28 |
Team stats
Better on the day
Sea EaglesRaiders
50%
Possession
50%
81%
Completion rate
80%
1,512
Run metres
1,697
469
Post-contact metres
532
4
Line breaks
6
36
Tackle breaks
49
8
Offloads
12
563
Kick metres
465
83.5%
Effective tackle %
88.5%
49
Missed tackles
36
8
Errors
10
5
Penalties conceded
8
| MAN | CAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Dangerous Tackle | ||
| Six-again (ruck) | ||
| 2nd Effort | ||
| Offside inside 10m | ||
| Hand in the Ruck | ||
| Obstruction | ||
| Total | 8 | 12 |
Positional battles
Combined numbers per position group · more fantasy points takes the battle
Fullbacks
MAN 67-43
Trbojevic
Weekes
193
Run metres
188
54
Kick return metres
55
5
Tackle breaks
5
1
Line breaks
1
Halves
CAN 81-73
Brooks, Fogarty
Strange, Sanders
2
Try assists
1
1
Line-break assists
1
562
Kick metres
438
1
Errors
0
Hookers
MAN 51-47
Simpkin
Starling
63
Tackles
38
12
Run metres
113
93
Passes
82
1
Errors
0
Middles
CAN 107-84
Paseka, Taukeiaho, Trbojevic
Papalii, Tapine, Horsburgh
247
Run metres
214
86
Post-contact metres
68
71
Tackles
83
6
Missed tackles
7
Back row
CAN 143-94
Olakau'atu, Trbojevic
Young, Martin
216
Run metres
223
7
Tackle breaks
6
58
Tackles
82
6
Missed tackles
3
Outside backs
CAN 159-144
Saab, Koula, Garrick, Hopoate
Tamale, Sasagi, Kris, Savage
589
Run metres
570
3
Line breaks
2
1
Tries
2
4
Errors
6
Best performers
CAN
Noah Martin
80
MAN
Tolutau Koula
73
MAN
Tom Trbojevic
67
CAN
Hudson Young
63
CAN
Corey Horsburgh
63
CAN
Ethan Sanders
58
MAN
Haumole Olakau'atu
54
MAN
Jake Simpkin
51
Show performers as a table
| Player | Team | Fantasy | Run m | Tackle breaks | Line breaks | Tries | Try assists | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Martin | Raiders | 80 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 48 |
| Tolutau Koula | Sea Eagles | 73 | 201 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 |
| Tom Trbojevic | Sea Eagles | 67 | 193 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Hudson Young | Raiders | 63 | 149 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 |
| Corey Horsburgh | Raiders | 63 | 138 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| Ethan Sanders | Raiders | 58 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| Haumole Olakau'atu | Sea Eagles | 54 | 115 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Jake Simpkin | Sea Eagles | 51 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 |
Head-to-head
2025 R23Raiders home
MAN
12
28
CAN
Raiders by 16
2025 R3Sea Eagles home
MAN
40
12
CAN
Sea Eagles by 28
2024 R23Raiders home
MAN
46
24
CAN
Sea Eagles by 22
2024 R9Sea Eagles home
MAN
24
26
CAN
Raiders by 2
2023 R12Raiders home
MAN
42
14
CAN
Sea Eagles by 28
How we tipped it
Chance each model gave the Raiders · right of 50% = tipped the winner
Generated automatically from nrl.com match data and our own models · 2026-09-25 05:16:00 UTC