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Match report

NRL / Round 3

Sun 22 Mar · 4:05pm · CommBank Stadium · Crowd 25,573 Full time · HT 18-14
Eels 30
vs
Dragons 20
Our tip Eels Lean 66% ✓ Correct

Eels too good

The Eels beat the Dragons 30–20 at CommBank Stadium in front of 25,573 in Round 3. They led 18–14 at half-time and held on.

Tallyn Da Silva scored 2 tries. Jaydn Su'A (Dragons) was the standout in a losing side with 77 fantasy points, 144 run metres and 1 try.

Our Final Tip had the Eels at 66% (a Lean) and got it right.

Form before this game · most recent first
Eels WLWWW
Dragons LLLLL

Game flow

Eels · above Dragons · below
Score 30-20 Line breaks 3·5 Errors 11·12 Penalties 8·3 Six-agains 1·5 0'10'20'30'HT50'60'70'80' 0-2 3' Pen goal 6-2 10' Try + goal 6-8 12' Try + goal 6-14 23' Try + goal 12-14 34' Try + goal 18-14 38' Try + goal 24-14 44' Try + goal 24-20 56' Try + goal 30-20 72' Try + goal
Show scoring as a table
MinTeamPlayerEventScore
3'DragonsValentine Holmes Penalty goal0–2
10'EelsJonah Pezet Try4–2
10'EelsMitchell Moses Conversion6–2
12'DragonsLuciano Leilua Try6–6
13'DragonsValentine Holmes Conversion6–8
23'DragonsJaydn Su'A Try6–12
25'DragonsValentine Holmes Conversion6–14
34'EelsTallyn Da Silva Try10–14
35'EelsMitchell Moses Conversion12–14
38'EelsKitione Kautoga Try16–14
39'EelsMitchell Moses Conversion18–14
44'EelsTallyn Da Silva Try22–14
46'EelsMitchell Moses Conversion24–14
56'DragonsMoses Suli Try24–18
57'DragonsValentine Holmes Conversion24–20
72'EelsJosh Addo-Carr Try28–20
74'EelsMitchell Moses Conversion30–20

Team stats

Better on the day
EelsDragons
50% Possession 50%
86% Completion rate 74%
1,839 Run metres 2,039
602 Post-contact metres 710
3 Line breaks 5
33 Tackle breaks 38
6 Offloads 18
886 Kick metres 552
84.8% Effective tackle % 89.5%
38 Missed tackles 33
11 Errors 12
8 Penalties conceded 3
DisciplinePenalties + six-agains
PARSGI
Six-again (ruck)
Escorts
Dangerous Tackle
2nd Effort
Ball Strip
Hip Drop
Offside inside 10m
Professional Foul
Total 9 8

Positional battles

Combined numbers per position group · more fantasy points takes the battle

Fullbacks

SGI 36-24
Iongi Gutherson
139 Run metres 217
42 Kick return metres 114
3 Tackle breaks 3
0 Line breaks 0

Halves

PAR 94-58
Pezet, Moses Flanagan, Atkinson
1 Try assists 2
0 Line-break assists 2
806 Kick metres 518
1 Errors 1

Hookers

PAR 42-35
Smith Cook
50 Tackles 35
10 Run metres 42
94 Passes 79
0 Errors 0

Middles

SGI 136-104
Hopgood, Paulo, Williams Guler, Couchman, Stewart
230 Run metres 387
85 Post-contact metres 150
91 Tackles 91
7 Missed tackles 2

Back row

SGI 134-111
Tuilagi, Kautoga Leilua, Su'A
150 Run metres 291
4 Tackle breaks 7
70 Tackles 67
4 Missed tackles 11

Outside backs

SGI 187-128
Simonsson, Samrani, Russell, Addo-Carr Tuipulotu, Suli, Holmes, Tu
682 Run metres 725
1 Line breaks 2
1 Tries 1
4 Errors 6

Best performers

Fantasy points
SGI Jaydn Su'A 77
PAR Mitchell Moses 68
PAR Kitione Kautoga 63
SGI Luciano Leilua 57
PAR Jack Williams 53
SGI Emre Guler 52
SGI Ryan Couchman 52
SGI Valentine Holmes 51
Show performers as a table
PlayerTeamFantasyRun m Tackle breaksLine breaksTries Try assistsTackles
Jaydn Su'ADragons77 1442 21 036
Mitchell MosesEels68 933 00 017
Kitione KautogaEels63 834 11 134
Luciano LeiluaDragons57 1475 11 031
Jack WilliamsEels53 932 00 050
Emre GulerDragons52 1552 00 028
Ryan CouchmanDragons52 1242 00 034
Valentine HolmesDragons51 1813 10 014

Head-to-head

Last 5 before this one · Eels 4 - 1 Dragons
2025 R17Dragons home PAR 20 34 SGI Dragons by 14
2025 R5Eels home PAR 23 22 SGI Eels by 1
2024 R26Eels home PAR 44 40 SGI Eels by 4
2023 R23Eels home PAR 26 20 SGI Eels by 6
2022 R4Eels home PAR 48 14 SGI Eels by 34

How we tipped it

Chance each model gave the Eels · right of 50% = tipped the winner

← Tipped the loser Tipped the winner → Season Final Tip 13/23 (57%) Bookies 13/23 (57%) Hot Scoring 13/23 (57%) Ladder 12/23 (52%) Power Rating 14/23 (61%) Quality Form 12/23 (52%) Recent Form 10/23 (43%) Scoring 14/23 (61%) Stat Blend 12/23 (52%) 0%25%50%75%100%

Generated automatically from nrl.com match data and our own models · 2026-09-25 05:16:04 UTC