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Match report

NRL / Round 10

Fri 8 May · 8:00pm · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Crowd 17,626 Full time · HT 12-10
Cowboys 30
vs
Eels 33
Our tip Cowboys Lean 69% ✕ Missed

Eels edge it late

The Eels edged the Cowboys 33–30 at Queensland Country Bank Stadium in front of 17,626 in Round 10. They came from behind, trailing 10–12 at the break.

Josh Addo-Carr scored 2 tries. Tom Dearden (Cowboys) was the standout in a losing side with 69 fantasy points, 149 run metres and 3 tackle breaks. The Eels won the metres battle 2,068 to 2,011 and made fewer errors (6 to 18).

Our Final Tip had the Cowboys at 69% (a Lean) and got it wrong. The bookies had the other side as favourites, so this one was an upset.

Form before this game · most recent first
Cowboys WWLWW
Eels LLWLL

Game flow

Cowboys · above Eels · below
Score 30-33 Line breaks 9·7 Errors 18·6 Penalties 4·0 Six-agains 2·3 0'10'20'30'HT50'60'70'80' 0-4 2' Try 6-4 9' Try + goal 6-10 21' Try + goal 12-10 28' Try + goal 12-16 47' Try + goal 18-16 50' Try + goal 24-16 55' Try + goal 24-22 59' Try + goal 30-22 67' Try + goal 30-26 74' Try 30-30 76' Try 30-33 81' Pen goal
Show scoring as a table
MinTeamPlayerEventScore
2'EelsBrian Kelly Try0–4
9'CowboysHeilum Luki Try4–4
10'CowboysJake Clifford Conversion6–4
21'EelsTallyn Da Silva Try6–8
22'EelsMitchell Moses Conversion6–10
28'CowboysJake Clifford Try10–10
29'CowboysJake Clifford Conversion12–10
47'EelsJosh Addo-Carr Try12–14
49'EelsMitchell Moses Conversion12–16
50'CowboysJaxon Purdue Try16–16
52'CowboysJake Clifford Conversion18–16
55'CowboysReed Mahoney Try22–16
56'CowboysJake Clifford Conversion24–16
59'EelsJosh Addo-Carr Try24–20
60'EelsMitchell Moses Conversion24–22
67'CowboysTom Chester Try28–22
68'CowboysJake Clifford Conversion30–22
74'EelsJordan Samrani Try30–26
76'EelsJoash Papalii Try30–30
81'EelsRonald Volkman Penalty goal30–33

Team stats

Better on the day
CowboysEels
45% Possession 55%
71% Completion rate 91%
2,011 Run metres 2,068
598 Post-contact metres 625
9 Line breaks 7
42 Tackle breaks 33
9 Offloads 5
595 Kick metres 901
90.1% Effective tackle % 84.5%
33 Missed tackles 42
18 Errors 6
4 Penalties conceded 0
DisciplinePenalties + six-agains
NQLPAR
Six-again (ruck)
Early Tackle
Pressure on Kicker
Shoulder Charge
Total 6 3

Positional battles

Combined numbers per position group · more fantasy points takes the battle

Fullbacks

PAR 53-36
Drinkwater Papalii
219 Run metres 135
85 Kick return metres 71
2 Tackle breaks 4
0 Line breaks 0

Halves

NQL 133-101
Clifford, Dearden Volkman, Moses
5 Try assists 1
3 Line-break assists 1
472 Kick metres 886
5 Errors 0

Hookers

PAR 61-59
Mahoney Da Silva
54 Tackles 36
68 Run metres 87
75 Passes 154
0 Errors 0

Middles

NQL 121-90
Hess, Taumalolo, Cotter Moretti, Paulo, De Belin
276 Run metres 360
101 Post-contact metres 136
87 Tackles 55
7 Missed tackles 5

Back row

NQL 107-89
Luki, McIntyre Tuilagi, Williams
175 Run metres 295
6 Tackle breaks 3
70 Tackles 55
4 Missed tackles 6

Outside backs

NQL 176-168
Burns, Purdue, Chester, Laybutt Kelly, Samrani, Russell, Addo-Carr
800 Run metres 693
4 Line breaks 3
2 Tries 4
8 Errors 4

Best performers

Fantasy points
NQL Tom Dearden 69
PAR Jordan Samrani 64
NQL Jake Clifford 64
NQL Heilum Luki 61
PAR Tallyn Da Silva 61
PAR Jack Williams 60
NQL Reed Mahoney 59
NQL Tom Chester 57
Show performers as a table
PlayerTeamFantasyRun m Tackle breaksLine breaksTries Try assistsTackles
Tom DeardenCowboys69 1493 10 418
Jordan SamraniEels64 2484 21 19
Jake CliffordCowboys64 912 21 122
Heilum LukiCowboys61 943 21 034
Tallyn Da SilvaEels61 874 21 036
Jack WilliamsEels60 1482 00 132
Reed MahoneyCowboys59 680 01 054
Tom ChesterCowboys57 2527 11 012

Head-to-head

Last 5 before this one · Cowboys 2 - 3 Eels
2025 R23Eels home NQL 18 19 PAR Eels by 1
2024 R6Eels home NQL 20 27 PAR Eels by 7
2023 R21Cowboys home NQL 24 16 PAR Cowboys by 8
2023 R13Eels home NQL 16 24 PAR Eels by 8
2022 R8Eels home NQL 35 4 PAR Cowboys by 31

How we tipped it

Chance each model gave the Eels · right of 50% = tipped the winner

← Tipped the loser Tipped the winner → Season Final Tip 44/75 (59%) Bookies 42/75 (56%) Hot Scoring 43/75 (57%) Ladder 40/75 (53%) Power Rating 44/75 (59%) Quality Form 46/75 (61%) Recent Form 45/75 (60%) Scoring 44/75 (59%) Stat Blend 43/75 (57%) 0%25%50%75%100%

Generated automatically from nrl.com match data and our own models · 2026-09-25 05:17:11 UTC