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Match report

NRL / Round 10

Sun 10 May · 4:05pm · GIO Stadium · Crowd 18,018 Full time · HT 12-18
Raiders 18
vs
Panthers 30
Our tip Panthers Lean 63% ✓ Correct

Panthers too good

The Panthers beat the Raiders 30–18 at GIO Stadium in front of 18,018 in Round 10. They led 18–12 at half-time and never looked back. It was their 4th straight win.

Blaize Talagi scored 2 tries. Nathan Cleary (Panthers) was the standout with 95 fantasy points, 7 tackle breaks and 1 try. The Panthers won the metres battle 1,827 to 1,637 and made fewer errors (8 to 9).

Our Final Tip had the Panthers at 63% (a Lean) and got it right.

Form before this game · most recent first
Raiders WLWWL
Panthers WWWLW

Game flow

Raiders · above Panthers · below
Score 18-30 Line breaks 4·6 Errors 9·8 Penalties 0·6 Six-agains 4·2 0'10'20'30'HT50'60'70'80' 0-6 4' Try + goal 6-6 9' Try + goal 6-12 17' Try + goal 12-12 23' Try + goal 12-18 32' Try + goal 18-18 48' Try + goal 18-24 51' Try + goal 18-30 57' Try + goal
Show scoring as a table
MinTeamPlayerEventScore
4'PanthersBlaize Talagi Try0–4
6'PanthersNathan Cleary Conversion0–6
9'RaidersEthan Sanders Try4–6
10'RaidersEthan Sanders Conversion6–6
17'PanthersBlaize Talagi Try6–10
18'PanthersNathan Cleary Conversion6–12
23'RaidersSebastian Kris Try10–12
24'RaidersEthan Sanders Conversion12–12
32'PanthersCasey McLean Try12–16
34'PanthersNathan Cleary Conversion12–18
48'RaidersKaeo Weekes Try16–18
50'RaidersEthan Sanders Conversion18–18
51'PanthersNathan Cleary Try18–22
53'PanthersNathan Cleary Conversion18–24
57'PanthersBilly Phillips Try18–28
59'PanthersNathan Cleary Conversion18–30

Team stats

Better on the day
RaidersPanthers
51% Possession 49%
80% Completion rate 82%
1,637 Run metres 1,827
592 Post-contact metres 586
4 Line breaks 6
33 Tackle breaks 34
10 Offloads 10
807 Kick metres 735
88.5% Effective tackle % 89.0%
34 Missed tackles 33
9 Errors 8
0 Penalties conceded 6
DisciplinePenalties + six-agains
CANPEN
Six-again (ruck)
Dangerous Tackle
Escorts
Flop
Marker Not Square
Other
Scrum Infringement
Total 4 8

Positional battles

Combined numbers per position group · more fantasy points takes the battle

Fullbacks

PEN 50-40
Weekes Edwards
191 Run metres 257
61 Kick return metres 114
6 Tackle breaks 6
0 Line breaks 1

Halves

PEN 164-123
Strange, Sanders Talagi, Cleary
2 Try assists 2
1 Line-break assists 2
719 Kick metres 582
1 Errors 1

Hookers

CAN 54-52
Starling Lussick
43 Tackles 45
65 Run metres 58
80 Passes 116
1 Errors 1

Middles

CAN 150-116
Horsburgh, Tapine, Brailey Leota, Smith, Yeo
294 Run metres 316
112 Post-contact metres 103
110 Tackles 86
5 Missed tackles 2

Back row

PEN 90-58
Young, Sasagi Papali'i, Garner
186 Run metres 182
0 Tackle breaks 3
41 Tackles 64
8 Missed tackles 6

Outside backs

CAN 121-114
Tamale, Kris, Timoko, Stuart Jenkins, Alamoti, McLean, To'o
525 Run metres 623
1 Line breaks 1
1 Tries 1
2 Errors 3

Best performers

Fantasy points
PEN Nathan Cleary 95
PEN Blaize Talagi 69
CAN Corey Horsburgh 68
CAN Ethan Strange 66
PEN Isaiah Papali'i 61
CAN Joseph Tapine 60
CAN Ethan Sanders 57
PEN Liam Henry 54
Show performers as a table
PlayerTeamFantasyRun m Tackle breaksLine breaksTries Try assistsTackles
Nathan ClearyPanthers95 667 21 221
Blaize TalagiPanthers69 716 22 022
Corey HorsburghRaiders68 1234 00 047
Ethan StrangeRaiders66 1048 10 224
Isaiah Papali'iPanthers61 1562 00 136
Joseph TapineRaiders60 1430 00 041
Ethan SandersRaiders57 472 11 016
Liam HenryPanthers54 1400 00 139

Head-to-head

Last 5 before this one · Raiders 2 - 3 Panthers
2025 R25Panthers home CAN 20 16 PEN Raiders by 4
2024 R25Raiders home CAN 22 18 PEN Raiders by 4
2023 R5Raiders home CAN 12 53 PEN Panthers by 41
2022 R21Raiders home CAN 6 26 PEN Panthers by 20
2022 R7Panthers home CAN 6 36 PEN Panthers by 30

How we tipped it

Chance each model gave the Panthers · right of 50% = tipped the winner

← Tipped the loser Tipped the winner → Season Final Tip 48/80 (60%) Bookies 45/80 (56%) Hot Scoring 47/80 (59%) Ladder 43/80 (54%) Power Rating 48/80 (60%) Quality Form 50/80 (62%) Recent Form 49/80 (61%) Scoring 48/80 (60%) Stat Blend 47/80 (59%) 0%25%50%75%100%

Generated automatically from nrl.com match data and our own models · 2026-09-25 05:17:15 UTC